Early in the 2026 NFL season, trader consensus reflects a wide-open race for the worst regular-season record, with numerous teams clustered near 47-49.5% implied probability. The Miami Dolphins sit at 0-5 or 0-6 after heavy defeats marked by poor offensive output and defensive lapses, while the Los Angeles Chargers share similar futility at 0-6 amid ongoing struggles on both sides of the ball. The Tennessee Titans (1-5), New York Jets (2-4), and others like the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts remain in contention due to inconsistent results, turnover issues, and injury impacts. Recent Week 6 outcomes, including blowout losses and narrow escapes, have sustained this bunched pricing as no single franchise has pulled decisively ahead in the standings.
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