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icon for 6月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？
世界·RBA

6月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？

icon for 6月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？
世界·RBA

6月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？

6月 16

8月 11

6月 16

8月 11

変更なし 81%

引き上げ 18%

引き下げ <1%

Polymarket

$25,462 Vol.

変更なし 81%

引き上げ 18%

引き下げ <1%

Polymarket

$25,462 Vol.

引き下げ

$7,827 Vol.

<1%

変更なし

$8,790 Vol.

81%

引き上げ

$8,845 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change at the June 16 meeting, with an 81 percent implied probability. The latest March CPI reading of 4.6 percent, up sharply from 3.7 percent in February and driven by housing and energy costs, prompted the recent tightening, yet major banks including CBA, ANZ, and NAB now see sufficient restriction in place to pause and assess transmission effects on demand and inflation. Westpac remains an outlier forecasting further hikes, but broader market pricing and the RBA’s May Statement on Monetary Policy signal a data-dependent stance that reduces the odds of an immediate June increase to around 20 percent. Upcoming April CPI and labor market releases will be the key swing factors before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
音量
$25,462
終了日
2026/06/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 5 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change at the June 16 meeting, with an 81 percent implied probability. The latest March CPI reading of 4.6 percent, up sharply from 3.7 percent in February and driven by housing and energy costs, prompted the recent tightening, yet major banks including CBA, ANZ, and NAB now see sufficient restriction in place to pause and assess transmission effects on demand and inflation. Westpac remains an outlier forecasting further hikes, but broader market pricing and the RBA’s May Statement on Monetary Policy signal a data-dependent stance that reduces the odds of an immediate June increase to around 20 percent. Upcoming April CPI and labor market releases will be the key swing factors before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
音量
$25,462
終了日
2026/06/16
マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

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よくある質問

「6月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「変更なし」で81%、次いで「引き上げ」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、81¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に81%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「6月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」は$25.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 19, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「6月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月のオーストラリア準備銀行の決定は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「変更なし」で81%であり、市場がこの結果に81%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「引き上げ」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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