Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in federal contests and his long tenure since 1997. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April shows Reed leading the likely Republican nominee by 18 points in the general election matchup and dominating the Democratic primary by 50 points. With primaries scheduled for September and the general election in November, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, limited Republican fundraising and organization in the state, and absence of major scandals or shifts in voter sentiment. A late primary upset or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical precedent suggests such changes remain unlikely to flip the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
5%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,992 Vol.
92%
共和党
$2,856 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in federal contests and his long tenure since 1997. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April shows Reed leading the likely Republican nominee by 18 points in the general election matchup and dominating the Democratic primary by 50 points. With primaries scheduled for September and the general election in November, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, limited Republican fundraising and organization in the state, and absence of major scandals or shifts in voter sentiment. A late primary upset or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical precedent suggests such changes remain unlikely to flip the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$7,848終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in federal contests and his long tenure since 1997. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April shows Reed leading the likely Republican nominee by 18 points in the general election matchup and dominating the Democratic primary by 50 points. With primaries scheduled for September and the general election in November, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, limited Republican fundraising and organization in the state, and absence of major scandals or shifts in voter sentiment. A late primary upset or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical precedent suggests such changes remain unlikely to flip the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$7,848終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in federal contests and his long tenure since 1997. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April shows Reed leading the likely Republican nominee by 18 points in the general election matchup and dominating the Democratic primary by 50 points. With primaries scheduled for September and the general election in November, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, limited Republican fundraising and organization in the state, and absence of major scandals or shifts in voter sentiment. A late primary upset or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical precedent suggests such changes remain unlikely to flip the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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