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icon for SD - AL民主党予備選
選挙·サウスダコタ州予備選挙

SD - AL民主党予備選

icon for SD - AL民主党予備選
選挙·サウスダコタ州予備選挙

SD - AL民主党予備選

Nikki Gronli 96.0%

Billy Mawhiney 2.4%

Scott Schlagel 2.3%

Polymarket

$11,376 Vol.

Nikki Gronli 96.0%

Billy Mawhiney 2.4%

Scott Schlagel 2.3%

Polymarket

$11,376 Vol.

Nikki Gronli

$2,014 Vol.

96%

Billy Mawhiney

$4,404 Vol.

2%

Scott Schlagel

$4,959 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Nikki Gronli at 96% to win South Dakota's at-large Democratic primary on June 2, driven by rival Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal after a brief challenge, leaving her as the clear frontrunner with strong party backing and credentials as former USDA Rural Development state director. Scott Schlagel trails far behind at 2%, reflecting minimal campaign momentum in this low-turnout primary for a Republican-leaning district. Gronli's recent media appearances on farm policy, tariffs, and rural issues have reinforced her position without sparking competition. Scenarios to upend this include a late write-in surge, her disqualification, or health issues, though filing deadlines and historical unopposed Democratic nods make shifts unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$11,376
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Nikki Gronli at 96% to win South Dakota's at-large Democratic primary on June 2, driven by rival Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal after a brief challenge, leaving her as the clear frontrunner with strong party backing and credentials as former USDA Rural Development state director. Scott Schlagel trails far behind at 2%, reflecting minimal campaign momentum in this low-turnout primary for a Republican-leaning district. Gronli's recent media appearances on farm policy, tariffs, and rural issues have reinforced her position without sparking competition. Scenarios to upend this include a late write-in surge, her disqualification, or health issues, though filing deadlines and historical unopposed Democratic nods make shifts unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$11,376
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「SD - AL民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Nikki Gronli」で96%、次いで「Billy Mawhiney」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SD - AL民主党予備選」は$11.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SD - AL民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SD - AL民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「Nikki Gronli」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Billy Mawhiney」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SD - AL民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。