**Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden advanced to South Dakota’s first Republican gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28 after the June 2 vote split the field, with Doeden at roughly 31 percent and Rhoden at 25 percent.** Johnson and Hansen, finishing third and fourth, were eliminated. Rhoden’s incumbency—gained when he succeeded Kristi Noem in 2025—provides name recognition and institutional backing, while Doeden positions himself as a business outsider focused on eliminating property taxes. Central issues include affordability and tax policy, with Rhoden backing a measure letting counties swap property taxes for a sales-tax option. The close trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over how support from the eliminated candidates consolidates, regional turnout patterns, and whether endorsements, spending, or debate positioning will shift momentum before the runoff ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Toby Doeden 54%
Larry Rhoden 43.9%
Dusty Johnson <1%
Jon Hansen <1%
$133,595 Vol.
$133,595 Vol.
Toby Doeden
44%
Larry Rhoden
44%
Dusty Johnson
<1%
Jon Hansen
<1%
Toby Doeden 54%
Larry Rhoden 43.9%
Dusty Johnson <1%
Jon Hansen <1%
$133,595 Vol.
$133,595 Vol.
Toby Doeden
44%
Larry Rhoden
44%
Dusty Johnson
<1%
Jon Hansen
<1%
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Larry Rhoden and Toby Doeden advanced to South Dakota’s first Republican gubernatorial primary runoff on July 28 after the June 2 vote split the field, with Doeden at roughly 31 percent and Rhoden at 25 percent.** Johnson and Hansen, finishing third and fourth, were eliminated. Rhoden’s incumbency—gained when he succeeded Kristi Noem in 2025—provides name recognition and institutional backing, while Doeden positions himself as a business outsider focused on eliminating property taxes. Central issues include affordability and tax policy, with Rhoden backing a measure letting counties swap property taxes for a sales-tax option. The close trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over how support from the eliminated candidates consolidates, regional turnout patterns, and whether endorsements, spending, or debate positioning will shift momentum before the runoff ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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