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Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 93.3%

Aisha Farooqi 2.4%

Andy Levin 1.4%

Don Ufford <1%

Polymarket

$20,497 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 93.3%

Aisha Farooqi 2.4%

Andy Levin 1.4%

Don Ufford <1%

Polymarket

$20,497 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$9,117 Vol.

93%

Aisha Farooqi

$6,093 Vol.

2%

Andy Levin

$4,071 Vol.

1%

Don Ufford

$654 Vol.

1%

Dave Woodward

$563 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting his established state legislative record, fundraising dominance, and early organizational advantages in the solidly Democratic Oakland County seat.** As Michigan Senate president pro tempore representing District 7, Moss brings experience passing measures on gun safety, reproductive rights, and civil rights, along with endorsements such as the Human Rights Campaign PAC. His campaign reported over $982,000 raised and roughly $572,000 cash on hand through March 2026—far ahead of rivals including Aisha Farooqi and John Paul Torres—while securing ballot access early. Other candidates, such as former Ford engineer Don Ufford, have emphasized economic and job issues but trail significantly in reported resources and visibility. The market’s 97%+ consensus on Moss aligns with these structural edges in a low-information primary environment. Realistic challenges would require major late developments, such as a significant scandal or unexpected surge in challenger turnout, though none have materialized in recent reporting. The primary occurs in roughly seven weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,497
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting his established state legislative record, fundraising dominance, and early organizational advantages in the solidly Democratic Oakland County seat.** As Michigan Senate president pro tempore representing District 7, Moss brings experience passing measures on gun safety, reproductive rights, and civil rights, along with endorsements such as the Human Rights Campaign PAC. His campaign reported over $982,000 raised and roughly $572,000 cash on hand through March 2026—far ahead of rivals including Aisha Farooqi and John Paul Torres—while securing ballot access early. Other candidates, such as former Ford engineer Don Ufford, have emphasized economic and job issues but trail significantly in reported resources and visibility. The market’s 97%+ consensus on Moss aligns with these structural edges in a low-information primary environment. Realistic challenges would require major late developments, such as a significant scandal or unexpected surge in challenger turnout, though none have materialized in recent reporting. The primary occurs in roughly seven weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,497
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jeremy Moss」で93%、次いで「Aisha Farooqi」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、93¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に93%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner」は$20.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jeremy Moss」で93%であり、市場がこの結果に93%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Aisha Farooqi」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。