The commanding lead for no parliamentary election before 2027 reflects Somaliland authorities' March 2026 decision to extend sitting lawmakers' terms and shift the vote from its scheduled May 2026 date to March 2027. This action aligns with a pattern of repeated delays driven by logistical, constitutional, and security considerations, leaving the three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—with limited immediate prospects for contesting seats. Trader pricing captures this timeline certainty while assigning minimal implied probability to any of the parties prevailing in the near term. A reversal of the extension, accelerated electoral preparations, or successful legal challenges could still alter the schedule within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年以前に選挙はなし 95%
正義福祉党（UCID） 2.8%
ワダニ 2.6%
クルミエ <1%
$94,584 Vol.
$94,584 Vol.
2026/12/31
2027年以前に選挙はなし
95%
正義福祉党（UCID）
3%
ワダニ
3%
クルミエ
1%
2027年以前に選挙はなし 95%
正義福祉党（UCID） 2.8%
ワダニ 2.6%
クルミエ <1%
$94,584 Vol.
$94,584 Vol.
2026/12/31
2027年以前に選挙はなし
$84,770 Vol.
95%
正義福祉党（UCID）
$4,279 Vol.
3%
ワダニ
$2,522 Vol.
3%
クルミエ
$3,013 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The commanding lead for no parliamentary election before 2027 reflects Somaliland authorities' March 2026 decision to extend sitting lawmakers' terms and shift the vote from its scheduled May 2026 date to March 2027. This action aligns with a pattern of repeated delays driven by logistical, constitutional, and security considerations, leaving the three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—with limited immediate prospects for contesting seats. Trader pricing captures this timeline certainty while assigning minimal implied probability to any of the parties prevailing in the near term. A reversal of the extension, accelerated electoral preparations, or successful legal challenges could still alter the schedule within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
音量
$94,584終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The commanding lead for no parliamentary election before 2027 reflects Somaliland authorities' March 2026 decision to extend sitting lawmakers' terms and shift the vote from its scheduled May 2026 date to March 2027. This action aligns with a pattern of repeated delays driven by logistical, constitutional, and security considerations, leaving the three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—with limited immediate prospects for contesting seats. Trader pricing captures this timeline certainty while assigning minimal implied probability to any of the parties prevailing in the near term. A reversal of the extension, accelerated electoral preparations, or successful legal challenges could still alter the schedule within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
音量
$94,584終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding lead for no parliamentary election before 2027 reflects Somaliland authorities' March 2026 decision to extend sitting lawmakers' terms and shift the vote from its scheduled May 2026 date to March 2027. This action aligns with a pattern of repeated delays driven by logistical, constitutional, and security considerations, leaving the three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—with limited immediate prospects for contesting seats. Trader pricing captures this timeline certainty while assigning minimal implied probability to any of the parties prevailing in the near term. A reversal of the extension, accelerated electoral preparations, or successful legal challenges could still alter the schedule within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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