The ruling Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding trader consensus advantage in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections due to its status as the incumbent party following strong results in the prior general election and President Lee Jae-myung's elevated approval ratings near 60 percent. This positioning reflects the People Power Party's ongoing organizational challenges and lower support levels around 17-20 percent after the previous administration's martial law episode. Most contested districts favor the Democratic Party geographically, with candidate nominations finalized in early May reinforcing these edges ahead of concurrent local elections. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected scandals, coordinated opposition strategies in conservative regions, or shifts in voter turnout, though such developments face significant structural barriers before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共に民主党（DP） 97.6%
国民の力（PPP） 2.5%
再建コリア党（RKP） <1%
進歩党（PP） <1%
$44,225 Vol.
$44,225 Vol.
2026/06/03
国民の力（PPP）
3%
共に民主党（DP）
98%
再建コリア党（RKP）
<1%
進歩党（PP）
<1%
改革党（RP）
<1%
共に民主党（DP） 97.6%
国民の力（PPP） 2.5%
再建コリア党（RKP） <1%
進歩党（PP） <1%
$44,225 Vol.
$44,225 Vol.
2026/06/03
国民の力（PPP）
$1,903 Vol.
3%
共に民主党（DP）
$2,751 Vol.
98%
再建コリア党（RKP）
$16,585 Vol.
<1%
進歩党（PP）
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
改革党（RP）
$21,873 Vol.
<1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The ruling Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding trader consensus advantage in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections due to its status as the incumbent party following strong results in the prior general election and President Lee Jae-myung's elevated approval ratings near 60 percent. This positioning reflects the People Power Party's ongoing organizational challenges and lower support levels around 17-20 percent after the previous administration's martial law episode. Most contested districts favor the Democratic Party geographically, with candidate nominations finalized in early May reinforcing these edges ahead of concurrent local elections. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected scandals, coordinated opposition strategies in conservative regions, or shifts in voter turnout, though such developments face significant structural barriers before polls close.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
マーケット開始日： Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
音量
$44,225終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The ruling Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding trader consensus advantage in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections due to its status as the incumbent party following strong results in the prior general election and President Lee Jae-myung's elevated approval ratings near 60 percent. This positioning reflects the People Power Party's ongoing organizational challenges and lower support levels around 17-20 percent after the previous administration's martial law episode. Most contested districts favor the Democratic Party geographically, with candidate nominations finalized in early May reinforcing these edges ahead of concurrent local elections. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected scandals, coordinated opposition strategies in conservative regions, or shifts in voter turnout, though such developments face significant structural barriers before polls close.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
音量
$44,225終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The ruling Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding trader consensus advantage in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections due to its status as the incumbent party following strong results in the prior general election and President Lee Jae-myung's elevated approval ratings near 60 percent. This positioning reflects the People Power Party's ongoing organizational challenges and lower support levels around 17-20 percent after the previous administration's martial law episode. Most contested districts favor the Democratic Party geographically, with candidate nominations finalized in early May reinforcing these edges ahead of concurrent local elections. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpected scandals, coordinated opposition strategies in conservative regions, or shifts in voter turnout, though such developments face significant structural barriers before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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