The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections with a commanding position in trader consensus, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s structural advantages in a contest tied to simultaneous nationwide local elections. At least 14 National Assembly seats are at stake after sitting lawmakers vacated posts to run for local offices, and DP candidate selections in key districts such as Busan’s Buk-A and Asan have reinforced expectations of a strong performance. Recent polling and campaign momentum portray the by-elections as a referendum on the administration’s record following the 2024 martial law episode, with the DP framing the vote as a verdict on opposition forces. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward double-digit seat gains for the ruling party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日10以上 66.0%
8〜9 33.1%
2〜3 <1%
0〜1 <1%
$34,505 Vol.
$34,505 Vol.
2026/06/03
0〜1
<1%
2〜3
<1%
4〜5
<1%
6～7
<1%
8〜9
27%
10以上
72%
10以上 66.0%
8〜9 33.1%
2〜3 <1%
0〜1 <1%
$34,505 Vol.
$34,505 Vol.
2026/06/03
0〜1
$3,928 Vol.
<1%
2〜3
$5,328 Vol.
<1%
4〜5
$3,763 Vol.
<1%
6～7
$3,754 Vol.
<1%
8〜9
$4,373 Vol.
27%
10以上
$13,359 Vol.
72%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections with a commanding position in trader consensus, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s structural advantages in a contest tied to simultaneous nationwide local elections. At least 14 National Assembly seats are at stake after sitting lawmakers vacated posts to run for local offices, and DP candidate selections in key districts such as Busan’s Buk-A and Asan have reinforced expectations of a strong performance. Recent polling and campaign momentum portray the by-elections as a referendum on the administration’s record following the 2024 martial law episode, with the DP framing the vote as a verdict on opposition forces. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward double-digit seat gains for the ruling party.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
マーケット開始日： Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
音量
$34,505終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections with a commanding position in trader consensus, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s structural advantages in a contest tied to simultaneous nationwide local elections. At least 14 National Assembly seats are at stake after sitting lawmakers vacated posts to run for local offices, and DP candidate selections in key districts such as Busan’s Buk-A and Asan have reinforced expectations of a strong performance. Recent polling and campaign momentum portray the by-elections as a referendum on the administration’s record following the 2024 martial law episode, with the DP framing the vote as a verdict on opposition forces. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward double-digit seat gains for the ruling party.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
音量
$34,505終了日
2026/06/03マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections with a commanding position in trader consensus, driven by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s structural advantages in a contest tied to simultaneous nationwide local elections. At least 14 National Assembly seats are at stake after sitting lawmakers vacated posts to run for local offices, and DP candidate selections in key districts such as Busan’s Buk-A and Asan have reinforced expectations of a strong performance. Recent polling and campaign momentum portray the by-elections as a referendum on the administration’s record following the 2024 martial law episode, with the DP framing the vote as a verdict on opposition forces. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward double-digit seat gains for the ruling party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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