The May 5 Tony nominations announcement established Schmigadoon! as the clear market leader at a 45.5% implied probability, as the Apple TV series adaptation tied The Lost Boys with 12 nods each—the highest total in the Best Musical field. Traders appear to favor Schmigadoon!’s strong critical reception for its Golden Age musical parody style and established fanbase, which has translated into early awards momentum ahead of the June ceremony. The Lost Boys follows at 28% on the strength of its campy vampire source material and technical achievements, while Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) at 29.5% and Titaníque at 26.5% draw support from their intimate rom-com charm and cult spoof appeal, respectively. Guild awards and final reviews in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this competitive race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Tony Awards: Best Musical Winner
Tony Awards: Best Musical Winner
The Lost Boys 48%
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) 30%
Titaníque 27%
Schmigadoon! 0
The Lost Boys
28%
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
30%
Titaníque
27%
Schmigadoon!
46%
The Lost Boys 48%
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) 30%
Titaníque 27%
Schmigadoon! 0
The Lost Boys
28%
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
30%
Titaníque
27%
Schmigadoon!
46%
This market will resolve according to the listed show that wins the award for Best Musical at the 79th Annual Tony Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contender whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Tony Awards and the official Tony website (https://www.tonyawards.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed show that wins the award for Best Musical at the 79th Annual Tony Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contender whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Tony Awards and the official Tony website (https://www.tonyawards.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 5 Tony nominations announcement established Schmigadoon! as the clear market leader at a 45.5% implied probability, as the Apple TV series adaptation tied The Lost Boys with 12 nods each—the highest total in the Best Musical field. Traders appear to favor Schmigadoon!’s strong critical reception for its Golden Age musical parody style and established fanbase, which has translated into early awards momentum ahead of the June ceremony. The Lost Boys follows at 28% on the strength of its campy vampire source material and technical achievements, while Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) at 29.5% and Titaníque at 26.5% draw support from their intimate rom-com charm and cult spoof appeal, respectively. Guild awards and final reviews in the coming weeks remain key swing factors in this competitive race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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