The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) files—including videos, photos, and Apollo-era transcripts—via the public war.gov/ufo portal, followed President Trump's directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for rolling disclosures of previously non-public documents. This executive action responds to congressional calls, like Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's push for whistleblower videos, amid prior announcements in April. Trader consensus favors December 31 at 88% implied probability, May 31 at 37%, and May 15 at 8%, betting on additional batches given the initial tranche's scale but uncertainty over exact resolution criteria distinguishing it from further "new" releases expected on a rolling basis through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,689 Vol.
2026/12/31
May 15
8%
May 31
37%
December 31
88%
$24,689 Vol.
May 15
$11,929 Vol.
8%
May 31
$9,937 Vol.
37%
December 31
$2,823 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) files—including videos, photos, and Apollo-era transcripts—via the public war.gov/ufo portal, followed President Trump's directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for rolling disclosures of previously non-public documents. This executive action responds to congressional calls, like Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's push for whistleblower videos, amid prior announcements in April. Trader consensus favors December 31 at 88% implied probability, May 31 at 37%, and May 15 at 8%, betting on additional batches given the initial tranche's scale but uncertainty over exact resolution criteria distinguishing it from further "new" releases expected on a rolling basis through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$24,689終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) files—including videos, photos, and Apollo-era transcripts—via the public war.gov/ufo portal, followed President Trump's directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for rolling disclosures of previously non-public documents. This executive action responds to congressional calls, like Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's push for whistleblower videos, amid prior announcements in April. Trader consensus favors December 31 at 88% implied probability, May 31 at 37%, and May 15 at 8%, betting on additional batches given the initial tranche's scale but uncertainty over exact resolution criteria distinguishing it from further "new" releases expected on a rolling basis through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$24,689終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) files—including videos, photos, and Apollo-era transcripts—via the public war.gov/ufo portal, followed President Trump's directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for rolling disclosures of previously non-public documents. This executive action responds to congressional calls, like Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's push for whistleblower videos, amid prior announcements in April. Trader consensus favors December 31 at 88% implied probability, May 31 at 37%, and May 15 at 8%, betting on additional batches given the initial tranche's scale but uncertainty over exact resolution criteria distinguishing it from further "new" releases expected on a rolling basis through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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