Albania leads Group C1 on 9 points from four matches, ahead of Belarus and Finland on 7 points each, with San Marino eliminated. The two remaining matchdays feature Albania versus Finland on November 12, San Marino versus Belarus, then Belarus versus Albania and Finland versus San Marino. Albania’s recent results include a 2-1 win over San Marino and a narrow loss to Finland, while Belarus and Finland share strong defensive records and positive goal differences. These fixtures create multiple paths to the group title, sustaining tight implied probabilities as traders weigh head-to-head form, home advantage in Tirana, and the potential for points swings in the final rounds.