Diverging expectations for Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan policy paths keep Polymarket odds closely balanced across the 140-170 USD/JPY range for the end-2026 close, with the 140-150, 150-160, and 160-170 bins each commanding roughly one-third of the probability. The pair trades near 159 amid a still-wide interest-rate differential that supports dollar strength, yet forecasts from major banks span 150-164, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of BOJ normalization, potential Fed easing, inflation trajectories, and global risk sentiment. Recent yen stabilization and moderating structural outflows add to the contest, while upcoming CPI releases, labor data, and central-bank communications through year-end remain the primary catalysts that could shift the market-implied distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日150-160 44%
160-170 29%
<140 12%
170-180 8%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
<140
12%
140-150
36%
150-160
36%
160-170
33%
170-180
8%
180+
4%
150-160 44%
160-170 29%
<140 12%
170-180 8%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
<140
$478 Vol.
12%
140-150
$189 Vol.
36%
150-160
$1,623 Vol.
36%
160-170
$266 Vol.
33%
170-180
$136 Vol.
8%
180+
$200 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Diverging expectations for Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan policy paths keep Polymarket odds closely balanced across the 140-170 USD/JPY range for the end-2026 close, with the 140-150, 150-160, and 160-170 bins each commanding roughly one-third of the probability. The pair trades near 159 amid a still-wide interest-rate differential that supports dollar strength, yet forecasts from major banks span 150-164, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of BOJ normalization, potential Fed easing, inflation trajectories, and global risk sentiment. Recent yen stabilization and moderating structural outflows add to the contest, while upcoming CPI releases, labor data, and central-bank communications through year-end remain the primary catalysts that could shift the market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
音量
$2,892終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Diverging expectations for Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan policy paths keep Polymarket odds closely balanced across the 140-170 USD/JPY range for the end-2026 close, with the 140-150, 150-160, and 160-170 bins each commanding roughly one-third of the probability. The pair trades near 159 amid a still-wide interest-rate differential that supports dollar strength, yet forecasts from major banks span 150-164, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of BOJ normalization, potential Fed easing, inflation trajectories, and global risk sentiment. Recent yen stabilization and moderating structural outflows add to the contest, while upcoming CPI releases, labor data, and central-bank communications through year-end remain the primary catalysts that could shift the market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$2,892終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Diverging expectations for Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan policy paths keep Polymarket odds closely balanced across the 140-170 USD/JPY range for the end-2026 close, with the 140-150, 150-160, and 160-170 bins each commanding roughly one-third of the probability. The pair trades near 159 amid a still-wide interest-rate differential that supports dollar strength, yet forecasts from major banks span 150-164, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of BOJ normalization, potential Fed easing, inflation trajectories, and global risk sentiment. Recent yen stabilization and moderating structural outflows add to the contest, while upcoming CPI releases, labor data, and central-bank communications through year-end remain the primary catalysts that could shift the market-implied distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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