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Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?

icon for Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?

Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?

51% 確率
Polymarket
新規
51% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year. Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying confirmations include: - Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview). - Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution. - Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year.

Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying confirmations include:
- Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview).
- Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution.
- Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year. Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying confirmations include: - Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview). - Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution. - Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year. Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying confirmations include: - Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview). - Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution. - Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year.

Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying confirmations include:
- Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview).
- Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution.
- Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year. Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying confirmations include: - Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview). - Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution. - Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して51%です。例えば、「はい」が51¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を51%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して51%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を51%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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