The open field for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoral race, with incumbent Mary Duniam retiring ahead of the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government elections, keeps trader consensus fragmented across numerous candidates priced at 50%. Sitting councillors including Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw, and Michael Johnstone have declared interest, alongside lower-priced contenders such as Chloe Foster, while nominations open September 7. Recent council actions on the 2026-27 budget, rates, and interim CEO transition have not yet produced clear frontrunners or major endorsements, leaving probabilities closely matched. Developments such as formal candidate announcements, local polling, or campaign positioning in the coming weeks could shift the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ディロン・ロバーツ 23%
マイケル・ジョンストン 12%
リアン・ロー 12%
クロエ・フォスター 10.5%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
ディロン・ロバーツ
23%
マイケル・ジョンストン
12%
リアン・ロー
12%
クロエ・フォスター
14%
メアリー・ダニアム
3%
ケビン・ハイランド
1%
ディロン・ロバーツ 23%
マイケル・ジョンストン 12%
リアン・ロー 12%
クロエ・フォスター 10.5%
新規
新規
2026/10/27
ディロン・ロバーツ
$746 Vol.
23%
マイケル・ジョンストン
$1,048 Vol.
12%
リアン・ロー
$3,645 Vol.
12%
クロエ・フォスター
$1,146 Vol.
14%
メアリー・ダニアム
$717 Vol.
3%
ケビン・ハイランド
$864 Vol.
1%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoral race, with incumbent Mary Duniam retiring ahead of the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government elections, keeps trader consensus fragmented across numerous candidates priced at 50%. Sitting councillors including Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw, and Michael Johnstone have declared interest, alongside lower-priced contenders such as Chloe Foster, while nominations open September 7. Recent council actions on the 2026-27 budget, rates, and interim CEO transition have not yet produced clear frontrunners or major endorsements, leaving probabilities closely matched. Developments such as formal candidate announcements, local polling, or campaign positioning in the coming weeks could shift the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
音量
$8,166終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoral race, with incumbent Mary Duniam retiring ahead of the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government elections, keeps trader consensus fragmented across numerous candidates priced at 50%. Sitting councillors including Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw, and Michael Johnstone have declared interest, alongside lower-priced contenders such as Chloe Foster, while nominations open September 7. Recent council actions on the 2026-27 budget, rates, and interim CEO transition have not yet produced clear frontrunners or major endorsements, leaving probabilities closely matched. Developments such as formal candidate announcements, local polling, or campaign positioning in the coming weeks could shift the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$8,166終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETThe open field for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoral race, with incumbent Mary Duniam retiring ahead of the October 27, 2026 Tasmanian local government elections, keeps trader consensus fragmented across numerous candidates priced at 50%. Sitting councillors including Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw, and Michael Johnstone have declared interest, alongside lower-priced contenders such as Chloe Foster, while nominations open September 7. Recent council actions on the 2026-27 budget, rates, and interim CEO transition have not yet produced clear frontrunners or major endorsements, leaving probabilities closely matched. Developments such as formal candidate announcements, local polling, or campaign positioning in the coming weeks could shift the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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