Manchester City's 79.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus that Rodri will remain at the Etihad, driven by his contract running until 2027, ongoing extension negotiations, and recent reports that Real Madrid has deprioritized a summer move after securing Bernardo Silva. The Ballon d'Or winner has repeatedly stated he will address his future only after the World Cup, while recovering from prior injury and continuing as a central midfielder under the club's setup. Lower probabilities for Real Madrid (9.5%), PSG (7.5%), Barcelona (6.0%), and Al-Hilal (5.3%) align with limited confirmed interest or valuation gaps, amid broader links to La Liga return but no imminent transfer activity. Multiple other clubs sit at even-money levels reflecting speculative options without fresh catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Real Madrid 77.8%
Manchester City 20.3%
Barcelona 2.6%
Paris Saint-Germain 1.5%
$70,512 Vol.
$70,512 Vol.
2026/09/02
Real Madrid
78%
Manchester City
20%
Barcelona
3%
Paris Saint-Germain
2%
Al-Hilal
<1%
Real Madrid 77.8%
Manchester City 20.3%
Barcelona 2.6%
Paris Saint-Germain 1.5%
$70,512 Vol.
$70,512 Vol.
2026/09/02
Real Madrid
$21,097 Vol.
78%
Manchester City
$18,951 Vol.
20%
Barcelona
$12,852 Vol.
3%
Paris Saint-Germain
$12,273 Vol.
2%
Al-Hilal
$5,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next team Rodri officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Rodri does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Rodri joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rodri is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Manchester City's 79.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus that Rodri will remain at the Etihad, driven by his contract running until 2027, ongoing extension negotiations, and recent reports that Real Madrid has deprioritized a summer move after securing Bernardo Silva. The Ballon d'Or winner has repeatedly stated he will address his future only after the World Cup, while recovering from prior injury and continuing as a central midfielder under the club's setup. Lower probabilities for Real Madrid (9.5%), PSG (7.5%), Barcelona (6.0%), and Al-Hilal (5.3%) align with limited confirmed interest or valuation gaps, amid broader links to La Liga return but no imminent transfer activity. Multiple other clubs sit at even-money levels reflecting speculative options without fresh catalysts.
This market will resolve to the next team Rodri officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Rodri does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Rodri joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rodri is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Rodri does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Rodri joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rodri is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 15, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
音量
$70,512マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next team Rodri officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Rodri does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Rodri joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rodri is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Manchester City's 79.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus that Rodri will remain at the Etihad, driven by his contract running until 2027, ongoing extension negotiations, and recent reports that Real Madrid has deprioritized a summer move after securing Bernardo Silva. The Ballon d'Or winner has repeatedly stated he will address his future only after the World Cup, while recovering from prior injury and continuing as a central midfielder under the club's setup. Lower probabilities for Real Madrid (9.5%), PSG (7.5%), Barcelona (6.0%), and Al-Hilal (5.3%) align with limited confirmed interest or valuation gaps, amid broader links to La Liga return but no imminent transfer activity. Multiple other clubs sit at even-money levels reflecting speculative options without fresh catalysts.
This market will resolve to the next team Rodri officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Rodri does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Rodri joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rodri is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Rodri does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Rodri joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rodri is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
音量
$70,512マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Manchester City's 79.5% implied probability reflects trader consensus that Rodri will remain at the Etihad, driven by his contract running until 2027, ongoing extension negotiations, and recent reports that Real Madrid has deprioritized a summer move after securing Bernardo Silva. The Ballon d'Or winner has repeatedly stated he will address his future only after the World Cup, while recovering from prior injury and continuing as a central midfielder under the club's setup. Lower probabilities for Real Madrid (9.5%), PSG (7.5%), Barcelona (6.0%), and Al-Hilal (5.3%) align with limited confirmed interest or valuation gaps, amid broader links to La Liga return but no imminent transfer activity. Multiple other clubs sit at even-money levels reflecting speculative options without fresh catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問