Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 43.5% implied probability due to its latest Claude iterations, including Opus 4.8 and Mythos Preview variants, posting top scores on math leaderboards such as combined AIME, MATH, and reasoning indices as of early June 2026. These models excel in multi-step logical deduction and competition-style problems, outpacing rivals in agentic reasoning chains that traders view as decisive for “best Math AI model” resolution. Google follows at 32.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s Deep Think mode and prior IMO gold-medal results, though recent benchmarks show narrower edges on pure math tasks. OpenAI sits at 16% with GPT-5.x series strong on FrontierMath but trailing in current math-specific aggregates. No major releases have shifted the field in the past week, leaving Anthropic’s demonstrated benchmark consistency as the key near-term catalyst ahead of end-of-June evaluation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Anthropic 44%
Google 33%
OpenAI 16%
Z.ai <1%
$189,918 Vol.
$189,918 Vol.
2026/06/30
Anthropic
44%
33%
OpenAI
16%
Z.ai
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 44%
Google 33%
OpenAI 16%
Z.ai <1%
$189,918 Vol.
$189,918 Vol.
2026/06/30
Anthropic
$55,084 Vol.
44%
$31,172 Vol.
33%
OpenAI
$21,778 Vol.
16%
Z.ai
$12,151 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$10,323 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$10,517 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$11,393 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$6,395 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,341 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$5,729 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$2,764 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$9,125 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$3,092 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$4,612 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$3,456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 43.5% implied probability due to its latest Claude iterations, including Opus 4.8 and Mythos Preview variants, posting top scores on math leaderboards such as combined AIME, MATH, and reasoning indices as of early June 2026. These models excel in multi-step logical deduction and competition-style problems, outpacing rivals in agentic reasoning chains that traders view as decisive for “best Math AI model” resolution. Google follows at 32.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s Deep Think mode and prior IMO gold-medal results, though recent benchmarks show narrower edges on pure math tasks. OpenAI sits at 16% with GPT-5.x series strong on FrontierMath but trailing in current math-specific aggregates. No major releases have shifted the field in the past week, leaving Anthropic’s demonstrated benchmark consistency as the key near-term catalyst ahead of end-of-June evaluation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
音量
$189,918終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 43.5% implied probability due to its latest Claude iterations, including Opus 4.8 and Mythos Preview variants, posting top scores on math leaderboards such as combined AIME, MATH, and reasoning indices as of early June 2026. These models excel in multi-step logical deduction and competition-style problems, outpacing rivals in agentic reasoning chains that traders view as decisive for “best Math AI model” resolution. Google follows at 32.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s Deep Think mode and prior IMO gold-medal results, though recent benchmarks show narrower edges on pure math tasks. OpenAI sits at 16% with GPT-5.x series strong on FrontierMath but trailing in current math-specific aggregates. No major releases have shifted the field in the past week, leaving Anthropic’s demonstrated benchmark consistency as the key near-term catalyst ahead of end-of-June evaluation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$189,918終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 43.5% implied probability due to its latest Claude iterations, including Opus 4.8 and Mythos Preview variants, posting top scores on math leaderboards such as combined AIME, MATH, and reasoning indices as of early June 2026. These models excel in multi-step logical deduction and competition-style problems, outpacing rivals in agentic reasoning chains that traders view as decisive for “best Math AI model” resolution. Google follows at 32.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s Deep Think mode and prior IMO gold-medal results, though recent benchmarks show narrower edges on pure math tasks. OpenAI sits at 16% with GPT-5.x series strong on FrontierMath but trailing in current math-specific aggregates. No major releases have shifted the field in the past week, leaving Anthropic’s demonstrated benchmark consistency as the key near-term catalyst ahead of end-of-June evaluation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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