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Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$23,519 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$23,519 Vol.

Polymarket

South Sudan

$641 Vol.

80%

Rwanda

$435 Vol.

55%

Burundi

$200 Vol.

47%

United States

$7,118 Vol.

32%

Canada

$839 Vol.

29%

Kenya

$141 Vol.

52%

India

$539 Vol.

35%

Republic of the Congo

$9,257 Vol.

26%

Nigeria

$24 Vol.

47%

Ethiopia

$64 Vol.

50%

Somalia

$70 Vol.

25%

China

$2,236 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, declared a PHEIC by WHO in May 2026, drives market sentiment, with DRC reporting 837 confirmed cases and 196 deaths as of mid-June per CDC and ECDC data, plus 19 confirmed cases in Uganda. This marks the largest known outbreak of this strain, fueled by a likely February spillover, remote locations in Ituri and neighboring provinces, armed conflict, population displacement, and weak surveillance that delays detection and isolation. CDC models project potential growth to thousands of cases without improved containment, while low U.S. risk reflects limited international travel links and screening measures. Key upcoming factors include updated WHO/Africa CDC situation reports, revised transmission models, and any new cross-border detections that could expand the list of affected countries before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$23,519
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, declared a PHEIC by WHO in May 2026, drives market sentiment, with DRC reporting 837 confirmed cases and 196 deaths as of mid-June per CDC and ECDC data, plus 19 confirmed cases in Uganda. This marks the largest known outbreak of this strain, fueled by a likely February spillover, remote locations in Ituri and neighboring provinces, armed conflict, population displacement, and weak surveillance that delays detection and isolation. CDC models project potential growth to thousands of cases without improved containment, while low U.S. risk reflects limited international travel links and screening measures. Key upcoming factors include updated WHO/Africa CDC situation reports, revised transmission models, and any new cross-border detections that could expand the list of affected countries before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$23,519
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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よくある質問

「Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Uganda」で100%、次いで「South Sudan」が80%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?」は$23.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Uganda」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「South Sudan」で80%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。