Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–31°C for June 28, with high humidity and a strong chance of showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 30°C and 31°C. These probabilities reflect trader assessment of typical late-June subtropical conditions, where monsoon influences and seasonal warming trends support maxima near the upper end of the normal 28–32°C range. Above-normal temperatures expected for June–August per long-term HKO guidance further bolster this cluster, while model consensus shows limited risk of extremes above 32°C or below 29°C absent major atmospheric shifts. Updated forecasts in the coming days could refine these implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日の香港の最高気温は?
30°C 48%
31°C 28%
29°C 19%
28°C 3.3%
$22,014 Vol.
$22,014 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
48%
31°C
28%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 48%
31°C 28%
29°C 19%
28°C 3.3%
$22,014 Vol.
$22,014 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
48%
31°C
28%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs of 27–31°C for June 28, with high humidity and a strong chance of showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 30°C and 31°C. These probabilities reflect trader assessment of typical late-June subtropical conditions, where monsoon influences and seasonal warming trends support maxima near the upper end of the normal 28–32°C range. Above-normal temperatures expected for June–August per long-term HKO guidance further bolster this cluster, while model consensus shows limited risk of extremes above 32°C or below 29°C absent major atmospheric shifts. Updated forecasts in the coming days could refine these implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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