Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日のロンドンの最低気温は?
18°C 49%
19°C 41%
17°C 3.7%
15℃以下 3.0%
15℃以下
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
49%
19°C
41%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C以上
<1%
18°C 49%
19°C 41%
17°C 3.7%
15℃以下 3.0%
15℃以下
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
49%
19°C
41%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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