Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日の成都の最高気温は？
6月28日の成都の最高気温は？
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
31°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/06/28
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
21%
31°C
15%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
31°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/06/28
23°C or below
$668 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$446 Vol.
1%
26°C
$530 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,206 Vol.
10%
28°C
$699 Vol.
22%
29°C
$498 Vol.
26%
30°C
$426 Vol.
21%
31°C
$424 Vol.
15%
32°C
$409 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$1,250 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$7,345終了日
2026/06/28マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,345終了日
2026/06/28マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus around 29–30°C as the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 28 reflects short-term numerical weather prediction models showing typical late-June conditions in this humid subtropical region, where afternoon highs average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Frequent cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by moist southwesterly flow and regional low-level convergence—tend to cap daytime peaks while elevating humidity and limiting radiative heating. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any convective activity or shifts in steering patterns, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C given current observational baselines and climatological analogs. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these outlooks ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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