Recent forecasts and climatological data position 27°C as the leading outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on June 28, reflecting typical early-summer overnight minima of 26–28°C amid elevated seasonal temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory's June–August outlook indicates above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, supporting trader consensus around this level while assigning notable probability to 32°C or higher if subtropical high pressure suppresses cooling. Short-term model runs show limited variability from passing disturbances, with resolution hinging on precise minimum readings at official stations; updated guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日の香港の最低気温は?
27℃ 43%
26℃ 32%
25°C 15%
28℃ 11%
$11,246 Vol.
$11,246 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
15%
26℃
32%
27℃
43%
28℃
11%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31℃
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
27℃ 43%
26℃ 32%
25°C 15%
28℃ 11%
$11,246 Vol.
$11,246 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
15%
26℃
32%
27℃
43%
28℃
11%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31℃
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and climatological data position 27°C as the leading outcome for Hong Kong's lowest temperature on June 28, reflecting typical early-summer overnight minima of 26–28°C amid elevated seasonal temperatures. The Hong Kong Observatory's June–August outlook indicates above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions, supporting trader consensus around this level while assigning notable probability to 32°C or higher if subtropical high pressure suppresses cooling. Short-term model runs show limited variability from passing disturbances, with resolution hinging on precise minimum readings at official stations; updated guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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