Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月28日の深センの最高気温は?
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
18%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
18%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate peak temperatures on June 28 clustered around 29–31°C, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to overcast skies and precipitation moderating extremes, creating tight probabilities across the 29–31°C range while reducing odds for hotter outcomes above 33°C. Variability in steering patterns and convective activity remains the key uncertainty, with updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date likely to refine these trader-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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