The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, commits members to treat an armed attack on one as an attack on all and explicitly invites additional participants. Trader positioning reflects Egypt's ongoing internal review of constitutional and legal implications alongside Turkish statements positioning Cairo as a likely early joiner once technical matters are resolved, tempered by Cairo's existing defense ties with Greece and Cyprus. Gulf states such as Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE are viewed as plausible candidates given prior bilateral defense cooperation and public welcomes from signatories, while statements from Bangladesh and Syria indicate exploratory interest. With roughly four months remaining until the December 31, 2026, resolution deadline, diplomatic visits, joint statements, and any formal accession talks will serve as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,367 Vol.

アラブ首長国連邦
52%

エジプト
36%

スーダン
29%

カタール
21%

バーレーン
17%

ヨルダン
14%

モロッコ
14%

シリア
13%

イラン
12%

イラク
12%

クウェート
11%

イエメン
8%

オマーン
7%

アルジェリア
7%

レバノン
7%

ソマリア
6%
$30,367 Vol.

アラブ首長国連邦
52%

エジプト
36%

スーダン
29%

カタール
21%

バーレーン
17%

ヨルダン
14%

モロッコ
14%

シリア
13%

イラン
12%

イラク
12%

クウェート
11%

イエメン
8%

オマーン
7%

アルジェリア
7%

レバノン
7%

ソマリア
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, commits members to treat an armed attack on one as an attack on all and explicitly invites additional participants. Trader positioning reflects Egypt's ongoing internal review of constitutional and legal implications alongside Turkish statements positioning Cairo as a likely early joiner once technical matters are resolved, tempered by Cairo's existing defense ties with Greece and Cyprus. Gulf states such as Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE are viewed as plausible candidates given prior bilateral defense cooperation and public welcomes from signatories, while statements from Bangladesh and Syria indicate exploratory interest. With roughly four months remaining until the December 31, 2026, resolution deadline, diplomatic visits, joint statements, and any formal accession talks will serve as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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