The near-even trader consensus around Republicans and Democrats reflects the longstanding but narrowing divide among white women, a large and educationally split voting bloc whose preferences have historically favored Republicans in recent cycles yet show erosion in 2026 polling. Economic pressures, including elevated gas prices tied to foreign policy developments, weigh heavily on moderate and working-class subsets, while college-educated white women continue shifting toward Democratic positions on issues such as healthcare and social policy. The absence of decisive late-cycle catalysts like major legislative votes or candidate announcements has kept implied probabilities balanced, with turnout differentials and state-level battleground dynamics likely to determine the final edge. Shifts in approval ratings for the incumbent administration or fresh economic data could widen separation before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/06
共和党
47%
民主党
47%
新規
新規
2026/11/06
共和党
$0 Vol.
47%
民主党
$0 Vol.
47%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The near-even trader consensus around Republicans and Democrats reflects the longstanding but narrowing divide among white women, a large and educationally split voting bloc whose preferences have historically favored Republicans in recent cycles yet show erosion in 2026 polling. Economic pressures, including elevated gas prices tied to foreign policy developments, weigh heavily on moderate and working-class subsets, while college-educated white women continue shifting toward Democratic positions on issues such as healthcare and social policy. The absence of decisive late-cycle catalysts like major legislative votes or candidate announcements has kept implied probabilities balanced, with turnout differentials and state-level battleground dynamics likely to determine the final edge. Shifts in approval ratings for the incumbent administration or fresh economic data could widen separation before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/06マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The near-even trader consensus around Republicans and Democrats reflects the longstanding but narrowing divide among white women, a large and educationally split voting bloc whose preferences have historically favored Republicans in recent cycles yet show erosion in 2026 polling. Economic pressures, including elevated gas prices tied to foreign policy developments, weigh heavily on moderate and working-class subsets, while college-educated white women continue shifting toward Democratic positions on issues such as healthcare and social policy. The absence of decisive late-cycle catalysts like major legislative votes or candidate announcements has kept implied probabilities balanced, with turnout differentials and state-level battleground dynamics likely to determine the final edge. Shifts in approval ratings for the incumbent administration or fresh economic data could widen separation before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/06マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The near-even trader consensus around Republicans and Democrats reflects the longstanding but narrowing divide among white women, a large and educationally split voting bloc whose preferences have historically favored Republicans in recent cycles yet show erosion in 2026 polling. Economic pressures, including elevated gas prices tied to foreign policy developments, weigh heavily on moderate and working-class subsets, while college-educated white women continue shifting toward Democratic positions on issues such as healthcare and social policy. The absence of decisive late-cycle catalysts like major legislative votes or candidate announcements has kept implied probabilities balanced, with turnout differentials and state-level battleground dynamics likely to determine the final edge. Shifts in approval ratings for the incumbent administration or fresh economic data could widen separation before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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