Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including the April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais limiting Voting Rights Act Section 2 claims on racial gerrymandering, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting efforts ahead of the 2026 midterms. Eight states—California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have already enacted or received court approval for new maps, with several Republican-led legislatures pursuing additional changes through special sessions or legislation. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, and Virginia, plus pending referendum challenges and state supreme court appeals, could further alter district lines before November. These developments reflect partisan efforts to maximize House seat advantages under evolving legal standards for map drawing and certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$262,781 Vol.
2026/11/03
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
91%
Missouri
87%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
79%
Georgia
13%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
$262,781 Vol.
California
$12,000 Vol.
97%
Texas
$5,235 Vol.
94%
North Carolina
$8,686 Vol.
98%
Ohio
$6,230 Vol.
94%
Utah
$61,108 Vol.
88%
Florida
$1,177 Vol.
63%
Louisiana
$15,717 Vol.
91%
Missouri
$3,904 Vol.
87%
Virginia
$6,915 Vol.
7%
Alabama
$14,782 Vol.
80%
South Carolina
$22,025 Vol.
79%
Georgia
$3,063 Vol.
13%
Kansas
$5,162 Vol.
9%
New Jersey
$5,044 Vol.
6%
Indiana
$28,282 Vol.
6%
Washington
$5,625 Vol.
7%
Nebraska
$6,500 Vol.
6%
Illinois
$10,019 Vol.
3%
Minnesota
$9,398 Vol.
3%
New York
$8,026 Vol.
13%
Maryland
$8,668 Vol.
17%
Wisconsin
$15,218 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including the April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais limiting Voting Rights Act Section 2 claims on racial gerrymandering, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting efforts ahead of the 2026 midterms. Eight states—California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have already enacted or received court approval for new maps, with several Republican-led legislatures pursuing additional changes through special sessions or legislation. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, and Virginia, plus pending referendum challenges and state supreme court appeals, could further alter district lines before November. These developments reflect partisan efforts to maximize House seat advantages under evolving legal standards for map drawing and certification.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
音量
$262,781終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including the April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais limiting Voting Rights Act Section 2 claims on racial gerrymandering, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting efforts ahead of the 2026 midterms. Eight states—California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have already enacted or received court approval for new maps, with several Republican-led legislatures pursuing additional changes through special sessions or legislation. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, and Virginia, plus pending referendum challenges and state supreme court appeals, could further alter district lines before November. These developments reflect partisan efforts to maximize House seat advantages under evolving legal standards for map drawing and certification.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$262,781終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including the April 2026 decision in Louisiana v. Callais limiting Voting Rights Act Section 2 claims on racial gerrymandering, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting efforts ahead of the 2026 midterms. Eight states—California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have already enacted or received court approval for new maps, with several Republican-led legislatures pursuing additional changes through special sessions or legislation. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, and Virginia, plus pending referendum challenges and state supreme court appeals, could further alter district lines before November. These developments reflect partisan efforts to maximize House seat advantages under evolving legal standards for map drawing and certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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