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政治·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
政治·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$246,771 Vol.

2026/11/03
Polymarket

$246,771 Vol.

Polymarket

California

$11,792 Vol.

95%

Texas

$3,356 Vol.

95%

North Carolina

$8,544 Vol.

97%

Ohio

$5,655 Vol.

93%

Utah

$58,474 Vol.

85%

Florida

$1,177 Vol.

57%

Louisiana

$15,515 Vol.

91%

Missouri

$3,794 Vol.

84%

Virginia

$6,339 Vol.

16%

Alabama

$13,838 Vol.

89%

South Carolina

$20,585 Vol.

70%

Georgia

$1,945 Vol.

12%

Kansas

$5,012 Vol.

8%

New Jersey

$5,044 Vol.

5%

Indiana

$26,094 Vol.

11%

Washington

$5,135 Vol.

8%

Nebraska

$6,500 Vol.

7%

Illinois

$9,377 Vol.

3%

Minnesota

$9,318 Vol.

3%

New York

$8,026 Vol.

13%

Maryland

$6,044 Vol.

4%

Wisconsin

$15,208 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms in states like California (95%), Texas (95%), North Carolina (97%), and Ohio (94%), reflecting enacted redraws post-2024 elections amid mid-decade battles spurred by the Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidating race-based gerrymanders under the Voting Rights Act. Recent catalysts include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4 and Tennessee's on May 7; Virginia's Supreme Court striking down a voter-approved Democratic plan on May 8, slashing odds to 12%; SCOTUS lifting Alabama injunctions on May 11 to enable changes (89%); and South Carolina lawmakers rejecting redistricting on May 12 (60%). Ongoing Louisiana litigation and potential SCOTUS appeals could shift probabilities before November primaries and generals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$246,771
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms in states like California (95%), Texas (95%), North Carolina (97%), and Ohio (94%), reflecting enacted redraws post-2024 elections amid mid-decade battles spurred by the Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidating race-based gerrymanders under the Voting Rights Act. Recent catalysts include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4 and Tennessee's on May 7; Virginia's Supreme Court striking down a voter-approved Democratic plan on May 8, slashing odds to 12%; SCOTUS lifting Alabama injunctions on May 11 to enable changes (89%); and South Carolina lawmakers rejecting redistricting on May 12 (60%). Ongoing Louisiana litigation and potential SCOTUS appeals could shift probabilities before November primaries and generals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$246,771
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?」はPolymarket上の22個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「North Carolina」で97%、次いで「California」が95%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?」は$246.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている22個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?」の現在のフロントランナーは「North Carolina」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「California」で95%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。