Recent Security Council straw polls and candidate dialogues have elevated Rebeca Grynspan as the early frontrunner among Latin American and Caribbean contenders, reflecting her strong diplomatic record and broad regional backing. The race remains tightly contested because multiple candidates—including Achim Steiner, Colombe Cahen-Salvador, and Rafael Grossi—draw overlapping support from the same geographic group, while the selection process hinges on anonymous straw polls, potential vetoes from permanent Security Council members, and the need for consensus before a General Assembly recommendation. Upcoming polls scheduled for late August and further interactive sessions could shift probabilities by clarifying preferences or prompting withdrawals, as traders weigh these procedural hurdles against the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日次期国連事務総長は誰になるのか？
次期国連事務総長は誰になるのか？
レベッカ・グリンシュパン 53.9%
ラファエル・グロッシ 28%
ジャシンダ・アーダーン 3.5%
ミシェル・バチェレ 3.5%
$80,081 Vol.
$80,081 Vol.
レベッカ・グリンシュパン
45%
ラファエル・グロッシ
28%
ジャシンダ・アーダーン
4%
ミシェル・バチェレ
3%
マリア・フェルナンダ・エスピノサ・ガルセス
2%
クリスタリナ・ゲオルギエヴァ
1%
ブルーノ・ドナート
1%
アミーナ・モハメッド
1%
ミア・モットリー
<1%
アリシア・バルセナ
<1%
デビッド・チョケワンカ
<1%
ヴク・イェレミッチ
<1%
コロンブ・カーン＝サルヴァドール
36%
アヒム・シュタイナー
37%
レベッカ・グリンシュパン 53.9%
ラファエル・グロッシ 28%
ジャシンダ・アーダーン 3.5%
ミシェル・バチェレ 3.5%
$80,081 Vol.
$80,081 Vol.
レベッカ・グリンシュパン
45%
ラファエル・グロッシ
28%
ジャシンダ・アーダーン
4%
ミシェル・バチェレ
3%
マリア・フェルナンダ・エスピノサ・ガルセス
2%
クリスタリナ・ゲオルギエヴァ
1%
ブルーノ・ドナート
1%
アミーナ・モハメッド
1%
ミア・モットリー
<1%
アリシア・バルセナ
<1%
デビッド・チョケワンカ
<1%
ヴク・イェレミッチ
<1%
コロンブ・カーン＝サルヴァドール
36%
アヒム・シュタイナー
37%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Security Council straw polls and candidate dialogues have elevated Rebeca Grynspan as the early frontrunner among Latin American and Caribbean contenders, reflecting her strong diplomatic record and broad regional backing. The race remains tightly contested because multiple candidates—including Achim Steiner, Colombe Cahen-Salvador, and Rafael Grossi—draw overlapping support from the same geographic group, while the selection process hinges on anonymous straw polls, potential vetoes from permanent Security Council members, and the need for consensus before a General Assembly recommendation. Upcoming polls scheduled for late August and further interactive sessions could shift probabilities by clarifying preferences or prompting withdrawals, as traders weigh these procedural hurdles against the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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