Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.usへ

icon for トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？
政治·軍隊

トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？

icon for トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？
政治·軍隊

トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？

アダム・テレ 42%

W・ジョーダン・ギリス 24%

ブレント・イングラハム 15%

ブライアン・マスト 13%

Polymarket
新規

アダム・テレ 42%

W・ジョーダン・ギリス 24%

ブレント・イングラハム 15%

ブライアン・マスト 13%

Polymarket
新規

アダム・テレ

$26 Vol.

42%

W・ジョーダン・ギリス

$26 Vol.

24%

ブレント・イングラハム

$26 Vol.

15%

ブライアン・マスト

$26 Vol.

13%

チャールズ・ヤング三世

$26 Vol.

13%

マーク・アンダーセン

$26 Vol.

13%

マイケル・オバダル

$26 Vol.

24%

ショーン・パーネル

$46 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested trader consensus for Trump's next Army Secretary reflects multiple viable contenders following Dan Driscoll's recent resignation amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Adam Telle, elevated to acting secretary in early September after his Senate-confirmed role overseeing civil works, holds a narrow lead in current pricing, while Sean Parnell benefits from internal Pentagon advocacy as Hegseth's spokesperson. Other names such as Michael Obadal, Marc Andersen, and Rep. Brian Mast remain in consideration, with any permanent nominee requiring Senate confirmation that could surface questions over recent leadership changes. Upcoming White House nomination decisions and committee proceedings represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities among these candidates.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$228
終了日
2029/01/19
マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested trader consensus for Trump's next Army Secretary reflects multiple viable contenders following Dan Driscoll's recent resignation amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Adam Telle, elevated to acting secretary in early September after his Senate-confirmed role overseeing civil works, holds a narrow lead in current pricing, while Sean Parnell benefits from internal Pentagon advocacy as Hegseth's spokesperson. Other names such as Michael Obadal, Marc Andersen, and Rep. Brian Mast remain in consideration, with any permanent nominee requiring Senate confirmation that could surface questions over recent leadership changes. Upcoming White House nomination decisions and committee proceedings represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities among these candidates.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$228
終了日
2029/01/19
マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

関連

icon for 2026年の最高裁判所の空席は？

2026年の最高裁判所の空席は？

25%
はい
icon for ジョン・スーンは次の上院多数党院内総務になりますか？

ジョン・スーンは次の上院多数党院内総務になりますか？

45%
はい
icon for スコット・ジェニングスは次のホワイトハウス報道官になりますか？

スコット・ジェニングスは次のホワイトハウス報道官になりますか？

25%
はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ショーン・パーネル」で49%、次いで「アダム・テレ」が42%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、49¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に49%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Sep 15, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ショーン・パーネル」で49%であり、市場がこの結果に49%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アダム・テレ」で42%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領の次期陸軍長官は誰になるのか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。