Skip to main content
icon for 誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？
政治·議会

誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？

icon for 誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？
政治·議会

誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？

$148,701 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$148,701 Vol.

Polymarket

トム・ティリス

$48,220 Vol.

はい

エリザベス・ウォーレン

$48,348 Vol.

いいえ

バーニー・サンダース

$18,232 Vol.

いいえ

チャック・シューマー

$6,952 Vol.

いいえ

リサ・マーカウスキー

$793 Vol.

はい

ケビン・クレイマー

$8,227 Vol.

はい

ジョン・ケネディ

$17,929 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair in a 54-45 vote on May 13, 2026, with Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman crossing party lines to join Republicans, marking the slimmest margin for a Fed Chair confirmation. President Trump had nominated the former Fed governor in March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15. Warsh first cleared the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote in late April, followed by a 49-44 cloture invocation on May 11 and 51-45 approval for the Board of Governors seat yesterday. Traders should monitor official Senate records for individual vote tallies, as the two-step process—governor confirmation then chair designation—resolves the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$148,701
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair in a 54-45 vote on May 13, 2026, with Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman crossing party lines to join Republicans, marking the slimmest margin for a Fed Chair confirmation. President Trump had nominated the former Fed governor in March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15. Warsh first cleared the Senate Banking Committee on a 13-11 party-line vote in late April, followed by a 49-44 cloture invocation on May 11 and 51-45 approval for the Board of Governors seat yesterday. Traders should monitor official Senate records for individual vote tallies, as the two-step process—governor confirmation then chair designation—resolves the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$148,701
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トム・ティリス」で100%、次いで「リサ・マーカウスキー」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？」は$148.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「トム・ティリス」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「リサ・マーカウスキー」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「誰がケビン・ウォーシュを連邦準備制度理事会議長に任命することに投票するのか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。