Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal from the 2026 French Open with a right wrist injury has shifted momentum toward Jannik Sinner in the race for more Grand Slam titles this season. Sinner, the current world No. 1, enters the clay-court major on an extended winning streak and with no points to defend in key events, giving him a clear path to claim Roland Garros while Alcaraz recovers. Recent head-to-head results and Sinner’s consistency across surfaces have reinforced trader confidence in his ability to secure at least two majors, including strong grass-court and hard-court showings later in the year. Alcaraz’s athletic baseline game and prior clay success remain factors if he returns healthy for Wimbledon and the US Open, but the immediate injury setback tilts the implied probability in Sinner’s favor.