In the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 knockout phase, the 81.5% implied probability on “No” reflects how rarely any single side reaches three or more penalty shootouts. Advancing through round-of-32, round-of-16, quarterfinals, and beyond via extra time and penalties demands repeated high-stakes draws plus successful shootout execution, a sequence that historically occurs for very few teams. Fatigue from multiple 120-minute matches, squad rotation limits, and the variance inherent in penalty outcomes further reduce the likelihood, while most clubs resolve ties inside 90 or 120 minutes through superior finishing or defensive organization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ノックアウトフェーズで3以上のペナルティー射撃に参加するチームはいますか？
ノックアウトフェーズで3以上のペナルティー射撃に参加するチームはいますか？
新規
新規
2026/07/20
新規
新規
2026/07/20
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 knockout phase, the 81.5% implied probability on “No” reflects how rarely any single side reaches three or more penalty shootouts. Advancing through round-of-32, round-of-16, quarterfinals, and beyond via extra time and penalties demands repeated high-stakes draws plus successful shootout execution, a sequence that historically occurs for very few teams. Fatigue from multiple 120-minute matches, squad rotation limits, and the variance inherent in penalty outcomes further reduce the likelihood, while most clubs resolve ties inside 90 or 120 minutes through superior finishing or defensive organization.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$2,409終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 knockout phase, the 81.5% implied probability on “No” reflects how rarely any single side reaches three or more penalty shootouts. Advancing through round-of-32, round-of-16, quarterfinals, and beyond via extra time and penalties demands repeated high-stakes draws plus successful shootout execution, a sequence that historically occurs for very few teams. Fatigue from multiple 120-minute matches, squad rotation limits, and the variance inherent in penalty outcomes further reduce the likelihood, while most clubs resolve ties inside 90 or 120 minutes through superior finishing or defensive organization.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,409終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 knockout phase, the 81.5% implied probability on “No” reflects how rarely any single side reaches three or more penalty shootouts. Advancing through round-of-32, round-of-16, quarterfinals, and beyond via extra time and penalties demands repeated high-stakes draws plus successful shootout execution, a sequence that historically occurs for very few teams. Fatigue from multiple 120-minute matches, squad rotation limits, and the variance inherent in penalty outcomes further reduce the likelihood, while most clubs resolve ties inside 90 or 120 minutes through superior finishing or defensive organization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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