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icon for Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

icon for Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

新規
2026/07/31
Polymarket

$1,465 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$497 Vol.

1%

July 31

$429 Vol.

89%

August 31

$539 Vol.

98%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ariana Grande officially announced her eighth studio album *petal* (stylized lowercase) on April 28, 2026, locking in a July 31 release through her Babydoll Music imprint and Republic Records. The project, recorded earlier this year and executive produced with frequent collaborator ILYA, already has pre-saves live on major platforms, physical pre-orders available, and a lead single—“Hate That I Made You Love Me”—that dropped May 29. Grande has described the 12-track set as a “feral” creative reset while continuing her Eternal Sunshine Tour, which began in early June. With no reported delays, shifting dates, or production setbacks in the past month, market-implied odds reflect strong trader confidence that the album will meet its confirmed timeline. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing tour dates and any final promotional drops.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,465
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ariana Grande officially announced her eighth studio album *petal* (stylized lowercase) on April 28, 2026, locking in a July 31 release through her Babydoll Music imprint and Republic Records. The project, recorded earlier this year and executive produced with frequent collaborator ILYA, already has pre-saves live on major platforms, physical pre-orders available, and a lead single—“Hate That I Made You Love Me”—that dropped May 29. Grande has described the 12-track set as a “feral” creative reset while continuing her Eternal Sunshine Tour, which began in early June. With no reported delays, shifting dates, or production setbacks in the past month, market-implied odds reflect strong trader confidence that the album will meet its confirmed timeline. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing tour dates and any final promotional drops.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,465
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「August 31」で98%、次いで「July 31」が89%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 30, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「August 31」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「July 31」で89%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。