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icon for 「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?

「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?

icon for 「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?

「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?

10% 確率
Polymarket
新規
10% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**DataRepublican (Jennica Pounds), a data analyst and Special Government Employee at the Department of Defense, has no scheduled or announced public congressional testimony by the October 31 deadline.** Her prominence stems from AI-driven tools tracking federal grants, NGO funding flows, and spending patterns, which gained traction through shares by figures like Elon Musk during DOGE-related efforts. She has appeared in media interviews and podcasts but maintains a low public profile focused on data work rather than formal appearances. Recent developments include a mid-2026 Pentagon press credential expiration, her July start in the SGE role, and an August controversy over documents involving a State Department official—none of which involve congressional hearings or calls to testify. Traders assign a 90.5% probability to “No” because no committee has issued an invitation or subpoena, no hearing dates have been set, and the roughly two-month window offers little time for the procedural steps required for public testimony by a current government employee. Her expertise centers on data transparency rather than direct policy execution that typically triggers oversight hearings, reinforcing the consensus that such an event remains unlikely before the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**DataRepublican (Jennica Pounds), a data analyst and Special Government Employee at the Department of Defense, has no scheduled or announced public congressional testimony by the October 31 deadline.** Her prominence stems from AI-driven tools tracking federal grants, NGO funding flows, and spending patterns, which gained traction through shares by figures like Elon Musk during DOGE-related efforts. She has appeared in media interviews and podcasts but maintains a low public profile focused on data work rather than formal appearances. Recent developments include a mid-2026 Pentagon press credential expiration, her July start in the SGE role, and an August controversy over documents involving a State Department official—none of which involve congressional hearings or calls to testify. Traders assign a 90.5% probability to “No” because no committee has issued an invitation or subpoena, no hearing dates have been set, and the roughly two-month window offers little time for the procedural steps required for public testimony by a current government employee. Her expertise centers on data transparency rather than direct policy execution that typically triggers oversight hearings, reinforcing the consensus that such an event remains unlikely before the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jennica Pounds, also known as "DataRepublican", provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して10%です。例えば、「はい」が10¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を10%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 25, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「「DataRepublican」は10月31日までに議会で公に証言しますか?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して10%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を10%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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