GameStop’s May 2026 unsolicited $55–56 billion cash-and-stock bid for eBay at $125 per share was promptly rejected by the target board as neither credible nor attractive, citing financing doubts, leverage risks, and the fourfold valuation gap. With GameStop holding roughly $9.7 billion in cash and securities yet still requiring substantial third-party debt, the implied probability of “No” at 92.5% reflects the low odds of completing a deal of this scale against an unwilling counterparty. GameStop has raised its stake to nearly 10% and reiterated pursuit, yet eBay’s stance has remained firm through mid-August 2026. A successful proxy contest or materially higher offer could reopen the possibility, though both face significant execution and shareholder hurdles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
8% 確率
$2,782,083 Vol.
$2,782,083 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
8% 確率
$2,782,083 Vol.
$2,782,083 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop’s May 2026 unsolicited $55–56 billion cash-and-stock bid for eBay at $125 per share was promptly rejected by the target board as neither credible nor attractive, citing financing doubts, leverage risks, and the fourfold valuation gap. With GameStop holding roughly $9.7 billion in cash and securities yet still requiring substantial third-party debt, the implied probability of “No” at 92.5% reflects the low odds of completing a deal of this scale against an unwilling counterparty. GameStop has raised its stake to nearly 10% and reiterated pursuit, yet eBay’s stance has remained firm through mid-August 2026. A successful proxy contest or materially higher offer could reopen the possibility, though both face significant execution and shareholder hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
音量
$2,782,083終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop’s May 2026 unsolicited $55–56 billion cash-and-stock bid for eBay at $125 per share was promptly rejected by the target board as neither credible nor attractive, citing financing doubts, leverage risks, and the fourfold valuation gap. With GameStop holding roughly $9.7 billion in cash and securities yet still requiring substantial third-party debt, the implied probability of “No” at 92.5% reflects the low odds of completing a deal of this scale against an unwilling counterparty. GameStop has raised its stake to nearly 10% and reiterated pursuit, yet eBay’s stance has remained firm through mid-August 2026. A successful proxy contest or materially higher offer could reopen the possibility, though both face significant execution and shareholder hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,782,083終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...GameStop’s May 2026 unsolicited $55–56 billion cash-and-stock bid for eBay at $125 per share was promptly rejected by the target board as neither credible nor attractive, citing financing doubts, leverage risks, and the fourfold valuation gap. With GameStop holding roughly $9.7 billion in cash and securities yet still requiring substantial third-party debt, the implied probability of “No” at 92.5% reflects the low odds of completing a deal of this scale against an unwilling counterparty. GameStop has raised its stake to nearly 10% and reiterated pursuit, yet eBay’s stance has remained firm through mid-August 2026. A successful proxy contest or materially higher offer could reopen the possibility, though both face significant execution and shareholder hurdles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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