eBay's rejection of GameStop's unsolicited $56 billion takeover bid at $125 per share—representing a 46% premium to its February unaffected price—has solidified trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability for "No," reflecting deep skepticism over the deal's feasibility. GameStop's $12 billion market cap dwarfs its financing capacity for the half-cash, half-stock proposal, which provided scant details beyond a $20 billion debt commitment, raising leverage and execution risks amid governance concerns cited by eBay's board. CEO Ryan Cohen's CNBC defense failed to sway markets, with GME shares declining post-announcement. Absent a sweetened, fully financed offer and antitrust clearance, the valuation mismatch and eBay's firm stance leave minimal catalysts for reversal before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$962,112 Vol.
$962,112 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$962,112 Vol.
$962,112 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.eBay's rejection of GameStop's unsolicited $56 billion takeover bid at $125 per share—representing a 46% premium to its February unaffected price—has solidified trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability for "No," reflecting deep skepticism over the deal's feasibility. GameStop's $12 billion market cap dwarfs its financing capacity for the half-cash, half-stock proposal, which provided scant details beyond a $20 billion debt commitment, raising leverage and execution risks amid governance concerns cited by eBay's board. CEO Ryan Cohen's CNBC defense failed to sway markets, with GME shares declining post-announcement. Absent a sweetened, fully financed offer and antitrust clearance, the valuation mismatch and eBay's firm stance leave minimal catalysts for reversal before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
音量
$962,112終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.eBay's rejection of GameStop's unsolicited $56 billion takeover bid at $125 per share—representing a 46% premium to its February unaffected price—has solidified trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability for "No," reflecting deep skepticism over the deal's feasibility. GameStop's $12 billion market cap dwarfs its financing capacity for the half-cash, half-stock proposal, which provided scant details beyond a $20 billion debt commitment, raising leverage and execution risks amid governance concerns cited by eBay's board. CEO Ryan Cohen's CNBC defense failed to sway markets, with GME shares declining post-announcement. Absent a sweetened, fully financed offer and antitrust clearance, the valuation mismatch and eBay's firm stance leave minimal catalysts for reversal before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$962,112終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...eBay's rejection of GameStop's unsolicited $56 billion takeover bid at $125 per share—representing a 46% premium to its February unaffected price—has solidified trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability for "No," reflecting deep skepticism over the deal's feasibility. GameStop's $12 billion market cap dwarfs its financing capacity for the half-cash, half-stock proposal, which provided scant details beyond a $20 billion debt commitment, raising leverage and execution risks amid governance concerns cited by eBay's board. CEO Ryan Cohen's CNBC defense failed to sway markets, with GME shares declining post-announcement. Absent a sweetened, fully financed offer and antitrust clearance, the valuation mismatch and eBay's firm stance leave minimal catalysts for reversal before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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