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icon for ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?

ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?

icon for ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?

ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?

新規
2026/07/31
Polymarket

$1,931 Vol.

Polymarket

7月31日

$1,250 Vol.

2%

12月31日

$239 Vol.

24%

3月31日

$442 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella has served as president of France’s National Rally (RN) since 2022 and remains the party’s most prominent figure ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A Paris appeals court ruling on July 7, 2026, upheld Marine Le Pen’s five-year public-office ban in the EU funds case, positioning Bardella as the likely RN nominee while the pair continues joint campaign events. Public statements from both leaders affirm ongoing cooperation, though analysts note longstanding differences on economic policy—Le Pen favoring a more statist approach and Bardella a comparatively liberal stance. No verified reports indicate plans for Bardella’s departure; recent developments instead reinforce his institutional role within the party ahead of scheduled electoral milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,931
終了日
2027/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella has served as president of France’s National Rally (RN) since 2022 and remains the party’s most prominent figure ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A Paris appeals court ruling on July 7, 2026, upheld Marine Le Pen’s five-year public-office ban in the EU funds case, positioning Bardella as the likely RN nominee while the pair continues joint campaign events. Public statements from both leaders affirm ongoing cooperation, though analysts note longstanding differences on economic policy—Le Pen favoring a more statist approach and Bardella a comparatively liberal stance. No verified reports indicate plans for Bardella’s departure; recent developments instead reinforce his institutional role within the party ahead of scheduled electoral milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,931
終了日
2027/03/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で24%、次いで「3月31日」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、24¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に24%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で24%であり、市場がこの結果に24%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。