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icon for ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?

ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?

icon for ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?

ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?

8% 確率
Polymarket
新規
8% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lamine Yamal's contract extension through June 2031, signed in May 2025 with a €1 billion release clause, anchors trader consensus against an exit before 2028. At 19, the La Masia product has delivered elite output in 2025/26 and early 2026/27, including double-digit goals and assists that powered Barcelona to La Liga and Spain to the 2026 World Cup, while earning temporary captaincy duties and Ballon d'Or consideration. Recent hamstring recovery has not disrupted his starting role or production in La Liga and Champions League fixtures. These factors, combined with his historical ties to the club and absence of credible transfer interest, align with the 90.5% implied probability that he remains at Barcelona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.

A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.

An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.

If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lamine Yamal's contract extension through June 2031, signed in May 2025 with a €1 billion release clause, anchors trader consensus against an exit before 2028. At 19, the La Masia product has delivered elite output in 2025/26 and early 2026/27, including double-digit goals and assists that powered Barcelona to La Liga and Spain to the 2026 World Cup, while earning temporary captaincy duties and Ballon d'Or consideration. Recent hamstring recovery has not disrupted his starting role or production in La Liga and Champions League fixtures. These factors, combined with his historical ties to the club and absence of credible transfer interest, align with the 90.5% implied probability that he remains at Barcelona.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion.

A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count.

An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier.

If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して8%です。例えば、「はい」が8¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を8%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して8%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を8%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「ラミーネ・ヤマルは2028年までにバルセロナを離れるのでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。