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icon for Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?

Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?

icon for Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?

Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?

はい

5% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

5% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lauren Boebert secured the Republican nomination for Colorado’s 4th congressional district unopposed in the June 30, 2026 primary after the March filing deadline passed with no challengers. The solidly Republican district, where she won reelection in 2024, provides a strong structural advantage heading into the November general election against Democrat Eileen Laubacher. Recent developments, including a September ethics complaint alleging improper relationships with staffers—which Boebert’s office called baseless and politically motivated—and family legal matters, have not prompted any withdrawal signals or party pressure to exit. Traders assign only a 4.8% chance of dropout because incumbents in safe seats rarely step aside this late absent extraordinary circumstances such as a sudden health issue, major scandal forcing leadership intervention, or personal decision to retire.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,314
終了日
2026/11/02
マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lauren Boebert secured the Republican nomination for Colorado’s 4th congressional district unopposed in the June 30, 2026 primary after the March filing deadline passed with no challengers. The solidly Republican district, where she won reelection in 2024, provides a strong structural advantage heading into the November general election against Democrat Eileen Laubacher. Recent developments, including a September ethics complaint alleging improper relationships with staffers—which Boebert’s office called baseless and politically motivated—and family legal matters, have not prompted any withdrawal signals or party pressure to exit. Traders assign only a 4.8% chance of dropout because incumbents in safe seats rarely step aside this late absent extraordinary circumstances such as a sudden health issue, major scandal forcing leadership intervention, or personal decision to retire.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2026 CO-04 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of her 2026 CO-04 Congressional campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,314
終了日
2026/11/02
マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ローレン・ボーベルトはCO-04選挙から撤退しますか?」で5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、5¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に5%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 19, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「ローレン・ボーベルトはCO-04選挙から撤退しますか?」でわずか5%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Lauren BoebertはCO -04レースから脱落しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。