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icon for オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？

オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？

icon for オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？

オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？

$13,622 Vol.

2026/08/31
Polymarket

$13,622 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 8月31日

8月31日

$13,622 Vol.

100%

icon for 6月12日

6月12日

$0 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Olivia Rodrigo's third studio album, titled "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love," is confirmed for a June 12, 2026 release via Geffen Records, marking her first full-length project since the 2023 release Guts. The April 2 announcement followed months of studio updates and fan hints after her Guts World Tour wrapped in summer 2025, with the lead single "Drop Dead" previewed during a surprise Coachella set in April that amplified streaming buzz and pre-save numbers. This rapid rollout aligns with her stated plans for a busy 2026, including a major world tour launching in September, positioning the project for strong chart momentum amid shifting pop narratives that favor her evolving blend of introspective songwriting and broader sonic experimentation. Traders are watching for any last-minute delays typical in high-profile campaigns, though the locked date and promotional infrastructure make a timely drop the clearest path to market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$13,622
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Olivia Rodrigo's third studio album, titled "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love," is confirmed for a June 12, 2026 release via Geffen Records, marking her first full-length project since the 2023 release Guts. The April 2 announcement followed months of studio updates and fan hints after her Guts World Tour wrapped in summer 2025, with the lead single "Drop Dead" previewed during a surprise Coachella set in April that amplified streaming buzz and pre-save numbers. This rapid rollout aligns with her stated plans for a busy 2026, including a major world tour launching in September, positioning the project for strong chart momentum amid shifting pop narratives that favor her evolving blend of introspective songwriting and broader sonic experimentation. Traders are watching for any last-minute delays typical in high-profile campaigns, though the locked date and promotional infrastructure make a timely drop the clearest path to market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$13,622
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

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よくある質問

「オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「8月31日」で100%、次いで「6月12日」が35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？」は$13.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 18, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「8月31日」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月12日」で35%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オリビア・ロドリゴが新しいオリジナルアルバムをリリースするのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。