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icon for ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?

ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?

icon for ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?

ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?

はい

10% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

10% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% for Ron DeSantis joining the Trump administration by June 30, driven by the absence of any official nomination or public commitment from President Trump despite persistent rumors. An April Axios report indicated DeSantis sought a senior role like attorney general, with Trump expressing openness in March statements, but a May 1 CNN analysis highlighted no decisions amid DeSantis' focus on Florida governance through his term ending January 2027 and potential 2028 presidential ambitions. Recent alliances, including joint initiatives on immigration and health policy, have not translated to cabinet action, leaving scant time for Senate confirmation processes before the deadline and underscoring structural barriers to late shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,122
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% for Ron DeSantis joining the Trump administration by June 30, driven by the absence of any official nomination or public commitment from President Trump despite persistent rumors. An April Axios report indicated DeSantis sought a senior role like attorney general, with Trump expressing openness in March statements, but a May 1 CNN analysis highlighted no decisions amid DeSantis' focus on Florida governance through his term ending January 2027 and potential 2028 presidential ambitions. Recent alliances, including joint initiatives on immigration and health policy, have not translated to cabinet action, leaving scant time for Senate confirmation processes before the deadline and underscoring structural barriers to late shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,122
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ロン・デサンティスは6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わりますか?」で10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、10¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に10%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ロン・デサンティスは6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わりますか?」で10%であり、市場がこの結果に10%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ロン・デサンティス氏は6月30日までにトランプ政権に加わるのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。