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icon for Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?

Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?

icon for Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?

Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?

はい

3% 確率
Polymarket

$76,985 Vol.

はい

3% 確率
Polymarket

$76,985 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.T1's established dominance in the LCK, multiple Worlds titles, and roster stability around stars like Faker drive the overwhelming 97.5% implied probability against Grok AI prevailing in any 2026 exhibition series. League of Legends demands nuanced macro decision-making, coordinated teamfights, and adaptive drafting that current AI systems have not demonstrated at a professional level, even with accelerated training. Elon Musk's public challenge and T1's acceptance have not produced verifiable progress reports on Grok 5 closing that gap. While rapid advances in reinforcement learning or specially tuned interfaces could theoretically narrow the divide, the absence of comparable AI successes in complex MOBAs reinforces trader consensus that T1 remains the heavy favorite.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$76,985
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 8:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.T1's established dominance in the LCK, multiple Worlds titles, and roster stability around stars like Faker drive the overwhelming 97.5% implied probability against Grok AI prevailing in any 2026 exhibition series. League of Legends demands nuanced macro decision-making, coordinated teamfights, and adaptive drafting that current AI systems have not demonstrated at a professional level, even with accelerated training. Elon Musk's public challenge and T1's acceptance have not produced verifiable progress reports on Grok 5 closing that gap. While rapid advances in reinforcement learning or specially tuned interfaces could theoretically narrow the divide, the absence of comparable AI successes in complex MOBAs reinforces trader consensus that T1 remains the heavy favorite.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$76,985
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 8:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok AI officially defeats T1 in any exhibition/competitive match of League of Legends played in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no match takes place between T1 and Grok AI or no winner can be determined for any reason by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from T1, X, Riot Games (if involved); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Grok AIは2026年にT1に勝つでしょうか?」で3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、3¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に3%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?」は$77Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?」の現在のリーダーは「Grok AIは2026年にT1に勝つでしょうか?」でわずか3%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Grok AIは2026年にT 1を打ち負かすでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。