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Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

icon for Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

13% 確率
Polymarket
新規
13% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. Early frontrunners for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination include JD Vance and Marco Rubio, both men who rank at the top of recent polling and media analyses of potential candidates. Other frequently mentioned figures such as governors and senators are also predominantly male, with limited momentum behind women including Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Katie Britt, Elise Stefanik, or Marjorie Taylor Greene. The nomination process remains in its early stages more than two years before primaries, and current trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% probability for “No” aligns with the absence of any woman establishing a leading position or broad party support in this cycle. Key upcoming developments include further polling shifts and potential candidate announcements that could alter the field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,946
終了日
2028/11/07
マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. Early frontrunners for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination include JD Vance and Marco Rubio, both men who rank at the top of recent polling and media analyses of potential candidates. Other frequently mentioned figures such as governors and senators are also predominantly male, with limited momentum behind women including Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Katie Britt, Elise Stefanik, or Marjorie Taylor Greene. The nomination process remains in its early stages more than two years before primaries, and current trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% probability for “No” aligns with the absence of any woman establishing a leading position or broad party support in this cycle. Key upcoming developments include further polling shifts and potential candidate announcements that could alter the field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,946
終了日
2028/11/07
マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して21%です。例えば、「はい」が21¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を21%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Feb 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して21%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を21%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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