Recent negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five Long Island Rail Road unions collapsed over wage increases after the last raise in 2022, triggering a strike by roughly 3,500 workers that began May 16 and halted service across the busiest U.S. commuter rail system. The three-day action disrupted commutes for hundreds of thousands of riders between Long Island and New York City until a tentative contract was reached late May 18, incorporating pay raises and adjusted work rules. Governor Kathy Hochul announced the deal, enabling phased service to resume at noon on May 19. Trader sentiment centers on the swift return to bargaining once the strike started and the precedent for rapid settlements in regional transit labor disputes once service halts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/05/31
May 19
97%
May 20
98%
May 21
98%
May 22
98%
May 23
98%
May 24
99%
May 31
99%
$2,825 Vol.
May 19
$415 Vol.
97%
May 20
$287 Vol.
98%
May 21
$334 Vol.
98%
May 22
$341 Vol.
98%
May 23
$329 Vol.
98%
May 24
$658 Vol.
99%
May 31
$461 Vol.
99%
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five Long Island Rail Road unions collapsed over wage increases after the last raise in 2022, triggering a strike by roughly 3,500 workers that began May 16 and halted service across the busiest U.S. commuter rail system. The three-day action disrupted commutes for hundreds of thousands of riders between Long Island and New York City until a tentative contract was reached late May 18, incorporating pay raises and adjusted work rules. Governor Kathy Hochul announced the deal, enabling phased service to resume at noon on May 19. Trader sentiment centers on the swift return to bargaining once the strike started and the precedent for rapid settlements in regional transit labor disputes once service halts.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
音量
$2,825終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five Long Island Rail Road unions collapsed over wage increases after the last raise in 2022, triggering a strike by roughly 3,500 workers that began May 16 and halted service across the busiest U.S. commuter rail system. The three-day action disrupted commutes for hundreds of thousands of riders between Long Island and New York City until a tentative contract was reached late May 18, incorporating pay raises and adjusted work rules. Governor Kathy Hochul announced the deal, enabling phased service to resume at noon on May 19. Trader sentiment centers on the swift return to bargaining once the strike started and the precedent for rapid settlements in regional transit labor disputes once service halts.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,825終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five Long Island Rail Road unions collapsed over wage increases after the last raise in 2022, triggering a strike by roughly 3,500 workers that began May 16 and halted service across the busiest U.S. commuter rail system. The three-day action disrupted commutes for hundreds of thousands of riders between Long Island and New York City until a tentative contract was reached late May 18, incorporating pay raises and adjusted work rules. Governor Kathy Hochul announced the deal, enabling phased service to resume at noon on May 19. Trader sentiment centers on the swift return to bargaining once the strike started and the precedent for rapid settlements in regional transit labor disputes once service halts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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