Skip to main content
icon for トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?

トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?

icon for トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?

トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?

はい

11% 確率
Polymarket

$60,690 Vol.

はい

11% 確率
Polymarket

$60,690 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.**Trump has consistently praised Vice President JD Vance while declining to issue a clear, exclusive endorsement for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, instead highlighting multiple potential successors including Secretary of State Marco Rubio.** As of mid-2026, Trump has described both men favorably in public remarks and suggested a Vance-Rubio ticket would be difficult to defeat, but he has explicitly avoided committing to either as the lead candidate. Recent reporting notes private questions from Trump about Vance’s independent electoral strength and readiness to lead the party without ongoing support. Vance has stated that Trump is “very supportive” of his potential ambitions and that the two have discussed the topic, yet no formal endorsement has materialized. This pattern of hedging, combined with Trump’s history of keeping succession questions open and elevating several allies, underpins trader consensus that a specific Vance endorsement before 2027 remains unlikely. Midterm elections later in 2026 and subsequent developments could still shift the dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
音量
$60,690
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.**Trump has consistently praised Vice President JD Vance while declining to issue a clear, exclusive endorsement for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, instead highlighting multiple potential successors including Secretary of State Marco Rubio.** As of mid-2026, Trump has described both men favorably in public remarks and suggested a Vance-Rubio ticket would be difficult to defeat, but he has explicitly avoided committing to either as the lead candidate. Recent reporting notes private questions from Trump about Vance’s independent electoral strength and readiness to lead the party without ongoing support. Vance has stated that Trump is “very supportive” of his potential ambitions and that the two have discussed the topic, yet no formal endorsement has materialized. This pattern of hedging, combined with Trump’s history of keeping succession questions open and elevating several allies, underpins trader consensus that a specific Vance endorsement before 2027 remains unlikely. Midterm elections later in 2026 and subsequent developments could still shift the dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
音量
$60,690
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプは2027年までにJDヴァンスを大統領候補として支持するか?」で11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?」は$60.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 22, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「トランプは2027年までにJDヴァンスを大統領候補として支持するか?」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。