Valve’s irregular but recurring hero cadence underpins the 64% market-implied odds for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, launched in mid-December 2025 after a 403-day gap from Kez, fitting Valve’s typical 8–12 month rhythm in the post-7.00 era. No new playable hero has arrived in 2026 despite the June Dark Carnival event, major patches, and The International in August, yet datamined assets continue to point to Arjun, a chariot-themed character with Indian-inspired mechanics that has lingered in client files since 2025. Traders weigh this historical pattern and ongoing datamining against Valve’s unpredictable timing and the absence of a TI reveal, leaving roughly four months for a potential late-year drop to shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Valveは12月31日までに新しいDota 2ヒーローをリリースしますか？
Valveは12月31日までに新しいDota 2ヒーローをリリースしますか？
はい
64% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
64% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve’s irregular but recurring hero cadence underpins the 64% market-implied odds for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, launched in mid-December 2025 after a 403-day gap from Kez, fitting Valve’s typical 8–12 month rhythm in the post-7.00 era. No new playable hero has arrived in 2026 despite the June Dark Carnival event, major patches, and The International in August, yet datamined assets continue to point to Arjun, a chariot-themed character with Indian-inspired mechanics that has lingered in client files since 2025. Traders weigh this historical pattern and ongoing datamining against Valve’s unpredictable timing and the absence of a TI reveal, leaving roughly four months for a potential late-year drop to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve’s irregular but recurring hero cadence underpins the 64% market-implied odds for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, launched in mid-December 2025 after a 403-day gap from Kez, fitting Valve’s typical 8–12 month rhythm in the post-7.00 era. No new playable hero has arrived in 2026 despite the June Dark Carnival event, major patches, and The International in August, yet datamined assets continue to point to Arjun, a chariot-themed character with Indian-inspired mechanics that has lingered in client files since 2025. Traders weigh this historical pattern and ongoing datamining against Valve’s unpredictable timing and the absence of a TI reveal, leaving roughly four months for a potential late-year drop to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Valve’s irregular but recurring hero cadence underpins the 64% market-implied odds for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo, the bard-frog support, launched in mid-December 2025 after a 403-day gap from Kez, fitting Valve’s typical 8–12 month rhythm in the post-7.00 era. No new playable hero has arrived in 2026 despite the June Dark Carnival event, major patches, and The International in August, yet datamined assets continue to point to Arjun, a chariot-themed character with Indian-inspired mechanics that has lingered in client files since 2025. Traders weigh this historical pattern and ongoing datamining against Valve’s unpredictable timing and the absence of a TI reveal, leaving roughly four months for a potential late-year drop to shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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