The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage remains in its opening days, leaving multiple UEFA contenders with realistic paths to deep knockout runs and keeping trader consensus tightly clustered. Spain, France, and England enter as the strongest options based on recent form, FIFA rankings, and squad depth, while Portugal, Germany, and the Netherlands sit close behind with solid recent results and manageable group draws. Early match outcomes, including strong starts from Germany and Sweden, have yet to separate the field decisively, and factors such as rest, travel across North American venues, and potential injuries could still shift momentum. The balanced distribution of implied probabilities reflects this open competition among established European powers rather than any single standout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日France 40%
Spain 19%
Netherlands 12%
England 11%
$38,978 Vol.
$38,978 Vol.
France
34%
Spain
19%
Netherlands
12%
England
11%
Portugal
10%
Germany
8%
Norway
4%
Croatia
3%
Switzerland
3%
Belgium
2%
Austria
1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Scotland
<1%
France 40%
Spain 19%
Netherlands 12%
England 11%
$38,978 Vol.
$38,978 Vol.
France
34%
Spain
19%
Netherlands
12%
England
11%
Portugal
10%
Germany
8%
Norway
4%
Croatia
3%
Switzerland
3%
Belgium
2%
Austria
1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Scotland
<1%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage remains in its opening days, leaving multiple UEFA contenders with realistic paths to deep knockout runs and keeping trader consensus tightly clustered. Spain, France, and England enter as the strongest options based on recent form, FIFA rankings, and squad depth, while Portugal, Germany, and the Netherlands sit close behind with solid recent results and manageable group draws. Early match outcomes, including strong starts from Germany and Sweden, have yet to separate the field decisively, and factors such as rest, travel across North American venues, and potential injuries could still shift momentum. The balanced distribution of implied probabilities reflects this open competition among established European powers rather than any single standout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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