France, Spain, Argentina, England, Brazil, and Portugal enter as the consensus frontrunners to reach the July 19 final, buoyed by recent major-tournament pedigree and elite attacking depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and Olympic gold, combined with Lamine Yamal’s emergence, underpin their top billing, while France’s blend of Kylian Mbappé and versatile midfield options sustains their status as two-time recent finalists. Argentina’s bid for back-to-back crowns hinges on Lionel Messi’s fitness and supporting cast, though several nations face notable injury concerns—Brazil missing key defenders and attackers, the Netherlands without Jurriën Timber, and Canada monitoring Alphonso Davies. The 48-team group stage, already underway, will quickly clarify paths, with home-soil advantages for co-hosts and schedule congestion testing squad rotation over the extended knockout phase.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ワールドカップ:ネーション・トゥ・リーチ・ファイナル
$652,015 Vol.
Spain
32%
France
26%
England
24%
Argentina
23%
Portugal
22%
Brazil
19%
Germany
14%
Netherlands
13%
Morocco
7%
Mexico
7%
Belgium
7%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
USA
5%
Japan
4%
Uruguay
4%
Switzerland
4%
Croatia
4%
New Zealand
2%
Ecuador
2%
Senegal
2%
Austria
2%
Canada
2%
Sweden
2%
South Korea
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Ghana
2%
Czechia
2%
Qatar
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Algeria
2%
South Africa
1%
Paraguay
1%
Australia
1%
Turkiye
1%
Scotland
1%
Tunisia
1%
Egypt
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
DR Congo
1%
Iran
1%
Jordan
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Iraq
<1%
Curacao
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Panama
<1%
Haiti
<1%
$652,015 Vol.
Spain
32%
France
26%
England
24%
Argentina
23%
Portugal
22%
Brazil
19%
Germany
14%
Netherlands
13%
Morocco
7%
Mexico
7%
Belgium
7%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
USA
5%
Japan
4%
Uruguay
4%
Switzerland
4%
Croatia
4%
New Zealand
2%
Ecuador
2%
Senegal
2%
Austria
2%
Canada
2%
Sweden
2%
South Korea
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Ghana
2%
Czechia
2%
Qatar
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Algeria
2%
South Africa
1%
Paraguay
1%
Australia
1%
Turkiye
1%
Scotland
1%
Tunisia
1%
Egypt
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
DR Congo
1%
Iran
1%
Jordan
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Iraq
<1%
Curacao
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Panama
<1%
Haiti
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...France, Spain, Argentina, England, Brazil, and Portugal enter as the consensus frontrunners to reach the July 19 final, buoyed by recent major-tournament pedigree and elite attacking depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 title and Olympic gold, combined with Lamine Yamal’s emergence, underpin their top billing, while France’s blend of Kylian Mbappé and versatile midfield options sustains their status as two-time recent finalists. Argentina’s bid for back-to-back crowns hinges on Lionel Messi’s fitness and supporting cast, though several nations face notable injury concerns—Brazil missing key defenders and attackers, the Netherlands without Jurriën Timber, and Canada monitoring Alphonso Davies. The 48-team group stage, already underway, will quickly clarify paths, with home-soil advantages for co-hosts and schedule congestion testing squad rotation over the extended knockout phase.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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