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icon for ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国

ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国

icon for ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国

ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国

$363,232 Vol.

2026/07/13
Polymarket

$363,232 Vol.

Polymarket

Haiti

$1,101 Vol.

<1%

Panama

$300 Vol.

1%

Iran

$537 Vol.

1%

Egypt

$123 Vol.

2%

Canada

$5,746 Vol.

2%

Morocco

$16,288 Vol.

15%

Norway

$18,251 Vol.

14%

Colombia

$3,745 Vol.

15%

Curacao

$1,483 Vol.

1%

Japan

$17,068 Vol.

10%

Tunisia

$6,478 Vol.

2%

Qatar

$167 Vol.

<1%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$20,466 Vol.

2%

Brazil

$5,708 Vol.

27%

Australia

$6,508 Vol.

3%

Paraguay

$5,999 Vol.

2%

Netherlands

$5,176 Vol.

22%

Turkiye

$11,880 Vol.

10%

Saudi Arabia

$659 Vol.

1%

Ecuador

$6,364 Vol.

6%

Ghana

$645 Vol.

2%

Belgium

$673 Vol.

15%

France

$15,218 Vol.

40%

Argentina

$42,503 Vol.

33%

Austria

$6,402 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$6 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$11,311 Vol.

8%

DR Congo

$1,687 Vol.

1%

Germany

$3,912 Vol.

21%

Algeria

$853 Vol.

7%

Portugal

$12,131 Vol.

32%

Mexico

$13,299 Vol.

13%

Switzerland

$6,136 Vol.

9%

Sweden

$6,512 Vol.

5%

Spain

$23,986 Vol.

45%

South Korea

$8,106 Vol.

6%

New Zealand

$3 Vol.

1%

Ivory Coast

$9,598 Vol.

5%

Iraq

$334 Vol.

2%

Uzbekistan

$2,351 Vol.

1%

Scotland

$1,124 Vol.

2%

USA

$14,743 Vol.

14%

Cape Verde

$214 Vol.

<1%

Senegal

$4,992 Vol.

4%

South Africa

$591 Vol.

1%

Uruguay

$7,518 Vol.

8%

Czechia

$10,955 Vol.

2%

England

$23,829 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team format and 12-group structure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup have shaped early trader consensus around established European and South American sides with proven depth, as only the top two per group plus the best third-place finishers advance to the round of 32. Spain enters with strong momentum from Euro 2024 success and a young core featuring Lamine Yamal, while France relies on Kylian Mbappé's scoring threat and squad balance. Early group-stage results, including the United States' 4-1 win over Paraguay and Mexico's 2-0 victory against South Africa, have reinforced home-soil advantages for co-hosts without shifting the top tier. Argentina's defending-champion pedigree, England's attacking options, and Brazil's attacking talent continue to anchor expectations, though the longer tournament and travel demands across North America introduce variables around squad rotation and recovery.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$363,232
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team format and 12-group structure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup have shaped early trader consensus around established European and South American sides with proven depth, as only the top two per group plus the best third-place finishers advance to the round of 32. Spain enters with strong momentum from Euro 2024 success and a young core featuring Lamine Yamal, while France relies on Kylian Mbappé's scoring threat and squad balance. Early group-stage results, including the United States' 4-1 win over Paraguay and Mexico's 2-0 victory against South Africa, have reinforced home-soil advantages for co-hosts without shifting the top tier. Argentina's defending-champion pedigree, England's attacking options, and Brazil's attacking talent continue to anchor expectations, though the longer tournament and travel demands across North America introduce variables around squad rotation and recovery.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$363,232
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国」はPolymarket上の48+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Spain」で45%、次いで「France」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国」は$363.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国」で取引するには、このページに記載されている48+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国」の現在のフロントランナーは「Spain」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「France」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ワールドカップ:準決勝進出国」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。