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World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

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World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

Round of 32 44%

Round of 16 19%

Group Stage 17%

Quarterfinals 12%

Polymarket
新規

Round of 32 44%

Round of 16 19%

Group Stage 17%

Quarterfinals 12%

Polymarket
新規

Round of 32

$233 Vol.

44%

Round of 16

$151 Vol.

19%

Group Stage

$634 Vol.

17%

Quarterfinals

$735 Vol.

12%

Semifinals

$2,418 Vol.

7%

Champion

$28 Vol.

6%

Final

$233 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan's strong recent form, including victories over England and Brazil plus consistent dominance in AFC qualifiers, has positioned the Samurai Blue as a competitive side capable of navigating a tough Group F featuring the Netherlands. However, star forward Kaoru Mitoma's injury and the team's historical pattern of exiting in the Round of 16 create balanced trader views, reflected in tightly clustered probabilities around Round of 32 and deeper runs. Hajime Moriyasu's tactical setup emphasizes cohesion and high pressing, yet questions persist about sustaining performance through the expanded 48-team knockout format. This mix of proven European club talent and lingering mental hurdles against elite opposition sustains the close market consensus.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,433
終了日
2026/07/19
マーケット開始日
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan's strong recent form, including victories over England and Brazil plus consistent dominance in AFC qualifiers, has positioned the Samurai Blue as a competitive side capable of navigating a tough Group F featuring the Netherlands. However, star forward Kaoru Mitoma's injury and the team's historical pattern of exiting in the Round of 16 create balanced trader views, reflected in tightly clustered probabilities around Round of 32 and deeper runs. Hajime Moriyasu's tactical setup emphasizes cohesion and high pressing, yet questions persist about sustaining performance through the expanded 48-team knockout format. This mix of proven European club talent and lingering mental hurdles against elite opposition sustains the close market consensus.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,433
終了日
2026/07/19
マーケット開始日
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Round of 32」で44%、次いで「Round of 16」が19%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 7, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination」の現在のフロントランナーは「Round of 32」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Round of 16」で19%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。